Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 1.527304 1.892675 2.368457 3.053443 4.050857 5.515860 7.974719
2025-02-09 1.043328 1.426457 2.006725 3.017688 4.913042 8.823623 19.725663
2025-02-16 0.793172 1.147597 1.735303 2.894957 5.509758 12.732030 48.576064
2025-02-23 0.668947 1.012515 1.626162 2.975848 6.606285 20.497709 198.062033
2025-03-02 0.591123 0.929223 1.572950 3.135448 8.142498 36.359305 4296.911756
2025-03-09 0.521211 0.841650 1.480683 3.152199 9.338173 60.675366 NaN
2025-03-16 0.456244 0.749594 1.352561 3.011266 9.818142 88.623371 NaN
2025-03-23 0.423189 0.712230 1.332240 3.167837 12.016577 210.483046 NaN
2025-03-30 0.388848 0.666002 1.279532 3.200681 13.772314 524.296249 NaN
2025-04-06 0.354290 0.613937 1.201022 3.111839 14.694465 1272.159698 NaN
2025-04-13 0.326111 0.571315 1.136937 3.047665 15.818843 5125.403040 NaN
2025-04-20 0.315796 0.565131 1.163365 3.342463 21.385256 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 0.301826 0.549577 1.163677 3.549927 27.778378 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.282354 0.519254 1.117628 3.533854 31.525911 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.261576 0.483595 1.050072 3.385821 32.569840 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.249615 0.466960 1.034213 3.487524 40.332956 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.240947 0.456949 1.035842 3.687422 54.612989 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.229200 0.438230 1.007436 3.708473 65.049966 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.214729 0.411540 0.949982 3.531959 65.326747 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.208509 0.404388 0.952987 3.728112 92.505021 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.200034 0.390792 0.932859 3.769375 115.386366 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.189843 0.372017 0.892857 3.657851 123.263562 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.180955 0.355843 0.859372 3.577478 135.518535 NaN NaN